jan 1, 1913 - Thomas Edison, "Books will soon be obsolete."
Thomas Edison, famed inventor and advocate of instructional films, predicted the demise of traditional books due to the popularity of instructional film. Edison hypothesized: "Books will soon be obsolete in the schools . . . . It is possible to teach every branch of human knowledge with the motion picture. Our school system will be changed within the next ten years" (Reiser: "Part I," 2001, pg. 55). This prediction was incorrect, as books are still used to this day as a primary instructional method. However, Edison's prediction was the first of many, and started a trend of incorrectly overestimating the impact of technology in education.
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IT Timeline: Ian Bowen, Alicia Spence, and Matthew Whittlesey