18 out 31 ano - Death of Sejanus

Descrição:

Imperial policy becomes pro-Jewish.
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R.E. BROWN – La mort du Messie. Encyclopédie de la passion du Christ.

Somehow the political situation in 33 (after the fall of Sejanus in Rome on October 31) better explain the vulnerability of Pilate to pressure from the people, but this is an argument too uncertain to justify a preference.

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Herod the Great and Jesus Chronological, Historical and Archaeological Evidence
Gérard GERTOUX

In fact, the veiled threat from the Jewish authorities to appeal to Caesar against Pilate (Jn 19:12) well supported that date, because they were likely to be understood. Yet, according to Philo of Alexandria, after the death of Sejanus in October 31 CE, Tiberius asked provincial governors to be considerate to the Jews, because the charges against them in the past [before 32 CE] were false (Legation to Gaius 159-161). This remark implies situating the trial of Jesus after 32 CE.