2nd Cod War
Category: Outro
Atualizado: 27 nov 2017
Autores
Created byVíðir Þór Rúnarsson
Attachments
Eventos
A non-pro western
left-wing government
elected in Iceland
(Could make threats
regarding the US base &
Nato-exit more believable.The US does Not intervene
on Iceland’s behalf
(but encourages the UK
to proceed with caution
behind the scenes)The ICJ rules against
the 50-nautical mile extension.Start of the 2nd Cod War:
The unilateral 50-nautical mile
extension is confirmed by
Parliament with unanimous supportIceland uses their Wire
Cutters for the first timeIceland cuts nets of 18 British Trawlers
(Forces British fishermen to leave Icelandic
fishing zones unless under protection.
Imposes great costs to UK at low cost to Iceland)The Icelandic Gov. repeats its threat of
leaving NATO
(There is not yet unanimous support
for that threat within within the left-wing
government, let-alone congress)
(The British still believe that only
the Socialist party is willing to go
through with these threats)
.Icelandic Gov. declares their intentions to
initiate the six-month revision clause of the
US Defense Agreement. Six months after the
initiation, Iceland would be free to unilaterally
revoke the Defense Agreement
(The British still believe that only the Socialist party
is willing to go through with these threats)The British government faces an ultimatum by the trawling
industry to offer naval protection, or the trawler fleet vacates
the disputed zone, giving Iceland a de-facto victory
(Has been contributed to the effectiveness of the wire cutters).The British Navy first enters the disputed zone.
(Puts the Icelandic Gov. under serious pressure to escelate)15% of the whole
population in Iceland
protests the Military
actions of the UK.
(This induces the pro-
western leaders of
both the Progressive
party (government),
and the Independence
party (largest non-
government party) to
vocally support the idea
of leaving Nato and
closing the US Base)
.Iceland initiates the six-months revision process of the US-defense agreement.The British unsuccessfully
appeal to the US for help.
(They do this on the
premise that only the
socialist party actually was
willing to go through with
the threats on the US
base and NATO)
.The whole
Icelandic
government
finally agrees on
the Nato threat,
and also promise
publicly to break
off diplomatic
relations with
Britain, unless the
Nimrod flights
are cancelled
(NATO-exit not
officially declared)
.The government officially
declares to break diplomatic
relations with Britain on October
3rd, if the Navy does not retreat
from Icelandic waters.
(Following some news
captures of clashes at sea).NATO mediates on Iceland's
behalfThe UK agrees to
withdraw the Navy
(Following mediation
by the Secretary
General of NATO)War Ends:
Agreement
signed that
gave Iceland
power over its
waters, but
the UK was
allowed to fish
130 tons for 2
years
.Períodos
The left-wing government attempts negotiations with the UK prior to
unilateral extension. However, no unity amongst Icelandic parties.
The non-unity and contradicting demands from the Icelandic
side confuses the British and makes them doubt the seriousness
of the Icelandic cause.The duration of the 2nd Cod WarAgrupar
Known factors during the Bargaining Period
Períodos
No precedent of 50-nautical mile extension
anywhere in the world at the time.Iceland could loose it's prospective EEC Trade agreement, which
would decrease tariffs on fish exports to European neighbors
from Iceland by 50%.UK has immense economical influence and power over Iceland.Iceland & the UK realize that the UK cannot exert their economic
power due to Cold War politics
(This previously failed in the Proto Cod War).
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